Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000172 0.000190 0.000210 0.000234 0.000260 0.000288 0.000322
2025-03-16 0.000130 0.000156 0.000185 0.000223 0.000269 0.000324 0.000395
2025-03-23 0.000110 0.000139 0.000175 0.000224 0.000288 0.000370 0.000486
2025-03-30 0.000099 0.000131 0.000172 0.000231 0.000314 0.000427 0.000596
2025-04-06 0.000086 0.000118 0.000162 0.000226 0.000320 0.000457 0.000673
2025-04-13 0.000075 0.000105 0.000148 0.000214 0.000316 0.000469 0.000723
2025-04-20 0.000068 0.000099 0.000144 0.000215 0.000329 0.000507 0.000820
2025-04-27 0.000064 0.000095 0.000142 0.000220 0.000348 0.000558 0.000943
2025-05-04 0.000059 0.000090 0.000138 0.000218 0.000357 0.000592 0.001042
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000086 0.000135 0.000220 0.000371 0.000636 0.001166
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000082 0.000131 0.000218 0.000378 0.000670 0.001275
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000078 0.000127 0.000218 0.000387 0.000706 0.001395
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000074 0.000123 0.000216 0.000395 0.000744 0.001528
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000068 0.000115 0.000207 0.000388 0.000753 0.001604
2025-06-15 0.000038 0.000065 0.000113 0.000208 0.000402 0.000805 0.001784
2025-06-22 0.000037 0.000065 0.000114 0.000215 0.000428 0.000887 0.002054
2025-06-29 0.000034 0.000061 0.000109 0.000210 0.000428 0.000914 0.002192
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000056 0.000102 0.000200 0.000415 0.000907 0.002243
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000054 0.000100 0.000200 0.000427 0.000960 0.002466
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000053 0.000100 0.000205 0.000448 0.001038 0.002776
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000051 0.000098 0.000203 0.000455 0.001083 0.003000
2025-08-03 0.000026 0.000050 0.000097 0.000205 0.000469 0.001150 0.003305
2025-08-10 0.000025 0.000048 0.000094 0.000203 0.000476 0.001196 0.003558